Shipment of personal computing devices (PCDs) including desktop, notebook, and workstations and tablets is expected to decline from 435.1 million units in 2016 to 398.3 million in 2021, at a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.7 percent.
Apart from 2018, notebook PCs show small growth throughout the forecast. Detachable tablets and convertible notebooks will be the fastest growing segments in PCD with a 5-year CAGR of over 14 percent.
Ultraslim notebooks are expected to continue to grow quickly, with a CAGR of 11.8 percent through 2021. Commercial segment, which stabilizes in 2017, shows growth in 2019 and beyond.
Tablets will decline as the appeal of slate devices diminishes and life cycles for these devices look more like those of PCs 4-5 years ago.
Detachable tablets will continue to grow.
“The good news for this space is that both consumers and commercial buyers are opening up to Microsoft Windows 10, and we are already at a point where Windows detachables represents more than 50 percent of shipments in the category,” said Ryan Reith, program vice president with IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Device Trackers.
Loren Loverde, vice president with IDC’s Worldwide Personal Computing Device Tracker and Tracker Forecasting, said shipments could pick up if accelerators like economic conditions, adoption of gaming, VR, and Windows 10 speed up.