Worldwide PC and tablet shipments are forecast to drop 11.9 percent in 2022 to 456.8 million units, followed by a further decline in 2023, according to IDC.
Traditional PC shipments will drop 5.6 percent to 281 million units in 2023, while tablets will decline 6.7 percent to 148 million units.
PC market is expected to achieve CAGR of just over 1 percent over the five-year forecast, and tablets are expected to have a CAGR of -1.7 percent.
“Both PC and tablet makers will struggle in the coming months as volumes and price are expected to decline,” said Jitesh Ubrani, research manager for IDC Mobility and Consumer Device Trackers. “Excess inventory in the very near term is already forcing OEMs and channels to heavily discount products and as long as the economic downturn continues, product mix will also shift from the premium segment to more mid-range products.”
IDC reduced its forecast for the consumer, education, and commercial markets in 2023, but is expecting a strong refresh cycle in commercial PCs as we head into 2024.
The PC and tablet shipment will touch 265.3 million (–9.8 percent) to consumer market, 56.3 million (–4 percent) to enterprise market, 67.4 million (–22.4 percent) to public sector and 67.9 million (–13.4 percent) to SMBs during 2022.
In 2026, shipment of the PCs and tablets will reach 260.3 million to consumer market, 62.1 million to enterprise market, 65.5 million to public sector and 71.1 million to SMBs during 2022.
“Windows 11 migration in conjunction with the next major education and home refresh cycles should propel growth from 2024 through the outer years of the forecast,” said Linn Huang, research vice president, Devices & Displays at IDC.
