Notebook and desktop PC business to grow 18% in Q4: IDC

Shipments of desktop and notebook PCs will grow 18.2 percent during the fourth quarter of 2020, followed by 1.4 percent growth in 2021, IDC report said.
PC business forecast report from IDC
The anticipated surge in PC sale is due to the ongoing shift towards work from home and remote education, in addition to the holiday spending season.

Notebook PCs business is expected to grow 26.4 percent year over year in 4Q20 and 3.2 percent in 2021. Desktop PCs will decline in both periods. Looking beyond 2021, IDC expects PC shipments will eventually slow and experience some declines, but it seems that the pandemic has infused the market with new energy.

Lenovo is the #1 PC brand in the world. Top PC makers include Lenovo (23.7 percent share), HP (23 percent), Dell (14.8 percent), Apple (8.5 percent) and Acer (7.4 percent) during the third quarter of 2020.
Top PC vendors Q3 2020
The education backlog remains extensive and many school districts are doing everything they can to secure inventory. Consumers seem to be buying all ranges of notebook PCs from low-end entry level systems to high-end gaming machines, Ryan Reith, program vice president with IDC’s Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers, said.

Jitesh Ubrani, research manager for IDC’s Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers, said: “Longer term forecasts for PC shipments and average selling prices have increased as households inch towards one PC per person while buying PCs further up the stack.”

The tablet market has also experienced growth resulting from the COVID-19 lockdowns. IDC expects tablet shipments to grow 10 percent in 2020. Most of the demand has been for detachable tablets led convincingly by Apple’s iPad lineup.

In many emerging markets the education backlog for devices includes tablets, specifically Android products given their very low average selling prices compared to PCs or other tablet platforms.